Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.0% | 77.0% | +6.7 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +11 (93-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 36 | 3-14 | 0-9 | 6-6 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 35 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham * | 34 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 33 | 7-15 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 15 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 31 | 5-16 | 1-9 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 14 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 12 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet * | 39 | 6-17 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 35 | 3-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 30 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 29 | 1-12 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 24 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 26 | 8-16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 15 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter