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2023-12-12

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 48.6% 51.4% -
Bradley-Terry 27.7% 72.3% -
Margin 21.3% 78.7% +7.2 (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 34.8% 65.2% -
Efficiency 16.9% 83.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.6% 81.4% -
Log Adjusted 18.5% 81.5% -
Points Off/Def 24.4% 75.6% -

Actual: New York Knicks +6 (136-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 37 7-13 3-8 3-3 6 5 2 0 20 - -
Pascal Siakam * 36 8-15 1-2 3-7 4 4 4 0 20 - -
OG Anunoby * 36 11-20 5-11 2-2 5 2 1 0 29 - -
Dennis Schroder * 33 6-12 2-4 6-7 2 10 4 0 20 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 23 3-6 0-0 5-8 8 2 0 0 11 - -
Precious Achiuwa 20 3-8 1-4 2-2 5 3 1 0 9 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 19 2-8 0-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 4 - -
Malachi Flynn 16 4-5 2-2 0-0 4 4 0 0 10 - -
Chris Boucher 10 2-8 0-4 1-1 3 0 0 0 5 - -
Gradey Dick 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Brunson * 37 7-12 3-5 4-6 2 9 1 0 21 - -
Julius Randle * 34 14-21 1-3 5-7 8 5 0 0 34 - -
RJ Barrett * 32 11-21 3-8 2-4 3 2 1 1 27 - -
Jericho Sims * 20 1-2 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 2 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 18 1-2 1-2 0-0 4 5 0 1 3 - -
Josh Hart 31 6-8 3-3 1-2 7 8 1 0 16 - -
Quentin Grimes 26 7-11 5-7 0-0 3 1 0 0 19 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 26 4-7 0-0 3-4 8 2 2 1 11 - -
Miles McBride 10 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 3 - -

* = starter