Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.9% | 34.1% | -3.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -7 (122-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 36 | 9-13 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 25 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 29 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 28 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 28 | 12-15 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 29 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 26 | 1-11 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 28 | 8-16 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 19 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saddiq Bey * | 39 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 38 | 8-22 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 27 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 26 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 7-7 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews * | 16 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 35 | 14-24 | 10-17 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 40 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 18 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| AJ Griffin | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter