Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.6% | 73.4% | +5.6 | ✗ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -8 (123-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Brown * | 37 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 32 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 30 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 30 | 10-15 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 23 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin * | 12 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 37 | 10-17 | 3-5 | 7-8 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 26 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 15 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 37 | 11-21 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 34 | 5-14 | 3-9 | 4-7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Ausar Thompson * | 33 | 8-10 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart * | 33 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jaden Ivey | 33 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Livers | 17 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| James Wiseman | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks | 12 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter