Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.6% | 33.4% | -3.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets -2 (114-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Martin * | 38 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 35 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 8-9 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 35 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 33 | 8-14 | 5-9 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Orlando Robinson * | 22 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 25 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 24 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love | 21 | 7-11 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Rozier * | 39 | 10-17 | 8-13 | 6-7 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| Miles Bridges * | 34 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Gordon Hayward * | 32 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Brandon Miller * | 30 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Nick Richards * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington | 31 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Bryce McGowens | 22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 14 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| JT Thor | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter