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2023-12-03

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 53.5% 46.5% -
Bradley-Terry 50.7% 49.3% -
Margin 67.0% 33.0% -3.9 (13.9 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% -
Efficiency 49.3% 50.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.1% 52.9% -
Log Adjusted 47.1% 52.9% -
Points Off/Def 43.2% 56.8% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +10 (107-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 39 7-15 4-7 4-4 5 7 0 0 22 - -
Dillon Brooks * 33 4-9 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 10 - -
Alperen Sengun * 33 8-25 3-8 2-2 13 5 2 2 21 - -
Jalen Green * 32 4-15 1-6 1-2 7 2 0 0 10 - -
Jabari Smith Jr. * 29 4-7 0-3 2-2 9 3 2 3 10 - -
Tari Eason 19 2-5 0-1 2-2 7 2 1 1 6 - -
Jae'Sean Tate 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Aaron Holiday 14 5-6 1-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 11 - -
Jeff Green 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jermaine Samuels Jr. 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Jock Landale 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -
Cam Whitmore 3 1-2 0-0 3-6 3 1 0 0 5 - -
Nate Hinton 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 36 10-22 0-0 7-9 14 3 0 5 27 - -
LeBron James * 35 7-17 0-4 2-5 4 7 1 1 16 - -
Taurean Prince * 29 4-7 3-5 0-0 6 1 2 0 11 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 26 4-10 1-5 0-0 2 7 5 0 9 - -
Cam Reddish * 24 4-7 0-1 3-3 5 1 0 1 11 - -
Max Christie 28 4-7 3-3 1-2 7 2 0 0 12 - -
Austin Reaves 22 6-11 1-4 5-6 4 1 3 0 18 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt 13 0-2 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 - -
Christian Wood 11 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 - -
Jaxson Hayes 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Jalen Hood-Schifino 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Maxwell Lewis 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter