Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.1% | 64.9% | +3.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +11 (132-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 36 | 13-28 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey * | 36 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 34 | 12-19 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 30 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 27 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 25 | 6-18 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Beasley * | 39 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 38 | 10-16 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 36 | 14-20 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 33 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 24 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 22 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 19 | 7-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| MarJon Beauchamp | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| AJ Green | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter