Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.8% | 39.2% | -2.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -8 (111-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 36 | 8-16 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 34 | 9-18 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 5 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 34 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson * | 29 | 8-11 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday * | 25 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 25 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 18 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grayson Allen * | 37 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kevin Durant * | 36 | 8-25 | 1-3 | 13-13 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 30 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 33 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 32 | 13-22 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 25 | 5-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jordan Goodwin | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter