Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 76.7% | 23.3% | -6.6 | ✗ (21.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +15 (121-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 33 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 31 | 4-13 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins * | 24 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie * | 22 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham * | 21 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 27 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 26 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 22 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dominick Barlow | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum * | 38 | 8-18 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Brandon Ingram * | 33 | 3-14 | 0-4 | 8-8 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 30 | 9-12 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 24 | - | - | |
| Herbert Jones * | 30 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Zion Williamson * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Trey Murphy III | 22 | 7-13 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 18 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jordan Hawkins | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Cody Zeller | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dyson Daniels | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter