Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.1% | 44.9% | -1.1 | ✓ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -14 (94-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane * | 33 | 11-20 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 30 | - | - | |
| David Roddy * | 24 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Derrick Rose * | 20 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 13 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 33 | 7-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Vince Williams Jr. | 26 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Nowell | 25 | 8-14 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 21 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Ziaire Williams | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jacob Gilyard | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Shaquille Harrison | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kenneth Lofton Jr. | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 35 | 3-15 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 31 | 6-14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams * | 31 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 5-6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 31 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 20 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 16 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 13 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Dexter Dennis | 4 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter