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2023-12-02

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 17.8% 82.2% -
Bradley-Terry 17.6% 82.4% -
Margin 8.1% 91.9% +13.4 (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 30.8% 69.2% -
Efficiency 12.2% 87.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.3% 83.7% -
Log Adjusted 16.3% 83.7% -
Points Off/Def 21.8% 78.2% -

Actual: Orlando Magic +5 (130-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 37 10-18 2-6 5-6 6 1 1 2 27 - -
Jordan Poole * 30 3-12 0-5 8-9 4 4 1 0 14 - -
Daniel Gafford * 27 7-10 0-0 4-7 11 3 0 3 18 - -
Tyus Jones * 25 5-10 3-5 0-0 3 6 2 0 13 - -
Deni Avdija * 20 2-7 0-2 2-2 3 5 0 0 6 - -
Bilal Coulibaly 31 6-7 0-0 0-0 5 0 3 0 12 - -
Corey Kispert 22 4-11 4-6 3-4 1 3 0 0 15 - -
Danilo Gallinari 20 3-4 1-1 0-0 6 1 1 0 7 - -
Landry Shamet 17 5-8 3-3 0-3 0 2 0 0 13 - -
Johnny Davis 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 38 11-20 3-4 3-3 13 7 0 0 28 - -
Franz Wagner * 34 9-17 1-3 12-14 7 8 0 0 31 - -
Jalen Suggs * 26 5-9 2-6 3-5 2 4 3 2 15 - -
Goga Bitadze * 24 1-1 1-1 0-0 5 4 0 2 3 - -
Anthony Black * 23 2-4 1-1 1-2 2 3 0 1 6 - -
Joe Ingles 24 5-11 3-7 1-1 3 7 0 0 14 - -
Gary Harris 22 3-9 1-6 1-2 0 0 0 0 8 - -
Moritz Wagner 22 8-13 0-2 2-3 6 0 1 1 18 - -
Cole Anthony 16 1-3 0-0 2-2 1 2 2 1 4 - -
Jonathan Isaac 6 1-2 0-1 1-1 5 0 0 1 3 - -

* = starter