Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.0% | 67.0% | +3.9 | ✗ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -2 (135-137). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 39 | 15-29 | 2-9 | 13-16 | 4 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 45 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 34 | 10-21 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey * | 33 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 22 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 21 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 31 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 28 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 12 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Sochan * | 35 | 12-14 | 3-3 | 6-6 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins * | 33 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 32 | 8-15 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 29 | 9-16 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 21 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 27 | 8-14 | 4-10 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 24 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 20 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 15 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter