Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.6% | 51.4% | +0.3 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +10 (134-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Holiday * | 35 | 4-10 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 34 | 8-12 | 5-8 | 5-6 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 32 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 28 | 10-18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 23 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 22 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock Jr. | 11 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jermaine Samuels Jr. | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Cam Whitmore | 5 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Nate Williams | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Nate Hinton | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 33 | 11-17 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 33 | 12-19 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 10 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 31 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday * | 26 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 22 | 4-14 | 3-8 | 5-5 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 23 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 18 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 13 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Braxton Key | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Collin Gillespie | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter