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2023-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 17.8% 82.2% -
Bradley-Terry 17.6% 82.4% -
Margin 8.1% 91.9% +13.4 (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 30.8% 69.2% -
Efficiency 12.2% 87.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.3% 83.7% -
Log Adjusted 16.3% 83.7% -
Points Off/Def 21.8% 78.2% -

Actual: Orlando Magic +19 (139-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 34 9-20 1-4 4-5 3 6 0 0 23 - -
Deni Avdija * 27 9-12 1-2 3-4 4 5 2 0 22 - -
Daniel Gafford * 26 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 4 1 2 4 - -
Jordan Poole * 26 5-12 4-7 5-6 5 2 2 1 19 - -
Tyus Jones * 20 3-10 0-2 1-2 3 4 2 0 7 - -
Bilal Coulibaly 25 2-5 1-1 2-2 5 0 0 0 7 - -
Corey Kispert 20 4-7 2-5 3-5 1 2 2 0 13 - -
Landry Shamet 18 2-6 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 5 - -
Danilo Gallinari 11 1-4 0-1 4-5 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Johnny Davis 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Eugene Omoruyi 9 3-5 1-2 3-4 1 1 1 0 10 - -
Jared Butler 5 1-2 0-1 2-2 0 3 2 0 4 - -
Anthony Gill 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Franz Wagner * 30 11-14 4-6 5-6 6 3 0 1 31 - -
Jalen Suggs * 28 9-15 3-6 1-1 3 3 2 0 22 - -
Anthony Black * 26 3-5 1-2 0-0 5 3 0 1 7 - -
Paolo Banchero * 26 2-8 0-0 2-3 4 4 0 0 6 - -
Goga Bitadze * 23 2-5 0-0 4-4 7 2 0 1 8 - -
Cole Anthony 26 9-16 3-5 4-5 6 5 0 2 25 - -
Gary Harris 19 2-2 2-2 2-3 2 4 2 0 8 - -
Joe Ingles 19 5-7 1-1 1-1 4 6 1 0 12 - -
Moritz Wagner 18 5-7 0-1 1-1 4 1 0 1 11 - -
Caleb Houstan 10 3-3 3-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 9 - -
Chuma Okeke 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -
Admiral Schofield 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter