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2023-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 15.3% 84.7% -
Bradley-Terry 39.8% 60.2% -
Margin 26.0% 74.0% +5.7 (31.7 off)
Pythagorean 60.8% 39.2% -
Efficiency 77.0% 23.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 75.2% 24.8% -
Log Adjusted 75.2% 24.8% -
Points Off/Def 64.8% 35.2% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -26 (107-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D'Angelo Russell * 34 13-17 5-7 4-5 4 9 1 2 35 - -
Anthony Davis * 29 9-15 0-0 10-13 16 4 1 3 28 - -
LeBron James * 28 9-19 2-6 5-5 8 3 0 0 25 - -
Max Christie * 22 0-3 0-2 5-5 2 2 0 1 5 - -
Taurean Prince * 22 3-4 3-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 9 - -
Christian Wood 25 4-9 0-4 4-4 9 0 1 2 12 - -
Austin Reaves 24 3-8 0-4 0-0 3 4 0 1 6 - -
Cam Reddish 19 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 - -
Jalen Hood-Schifino 10 3-4 1-2 3-6 1 1 0 0 10 - -
Maxwell Lewis 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 2 0 0 - -
Jaxson Hayes 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -
D'Moi Hodge 4 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 - -
Alex Fudge 4 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaiah Stewart * 24 4-9 3-7 1-1 3 0 0 1 12 - -
Cade Cunningham * 23 6-15 2-4 1-1 4 5 1 0 15 - -
Ausar Thompson * 20 6-11 0-3 0-0 6 0 1 0 12 - -
Jaden Ivey * 18 1-6 1-2 4-4 1 3 1 0 7 - -
Jalen Duren * 17 3-8 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 6 - -
Marcus Sasser 27 3-8 1-2 2-2 1 8 2 1 9 - -
Isaiah Livers 22 5-8 4-6 0-0 3 2 0 0 14 - -
Killian Hayes 21 3-9 0-3 1-1 1 8 2 0 7 - -
Stanley Umude 20 2-9 2-5 2-2 5 2 1 0 8 - -
Marvin Bagley III 14 2-4 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 4 - -
James Wiseman 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 4 - -
Alec Burks 10 2-7 1-3 1-1 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Kevin Knox II 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter