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2023-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 8.6% 91.4% -
Bradley-Terry 13.7% 86.3% -
Margin 4.8% 95.2% +16.5 (35.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.2% 52.8% -
Efficiency 47.1% 52.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.7% 53.3% -
Log Adjusted 46.7% 53.3% -
Points Off/Def 42.2% 57.8% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -19 (107-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 34 10-23 2-7 10-11 12 8 0 0 32 - -
Daniel Gafford * 26 4-5 0-0 2-2 9 2 2 4 10 - -
Deni Avdija * 25 6-9 1-3 3-3 6 5 0 0 16 - -
Jordan Poole * 25 3-9 0-2 4-4 0 3 1 0 10 - -
Tyus Jones * 25 5-9 1-3 1-2 3 4 0 0 12 - -
Bilal Coulibaly 27 2-6 0-2 1-1 4 0 2 1 5 - -
Landry Shamet 22 4-7 2-3 2-2 2 4 2 1 12 - -
Corey Kispert 19 4-7 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 8 - -
Danilo Gallinari 19 5-8 3-6 3-3 2 2 0 0 16 - -
Johnny Davis 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Jared Butler 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Anthony Gill 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Eugene Omoruyi 1 1-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Duren * 33 5-8 0-0 2-5 14 3 1 5 12 - -
Jaden Ivey * 32 6-12 2-3 1-2 7 7 1 1 15 - -
Cade Cunningham * 32 10-22 2-7 4-4 5 7 1 0 26 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 28 3-11 1-7 0-0 8 0 1 0 7 - -
Ausar Thompson * 27 8-14 0-2 0-0 4 2 2 1 16 - -
Isaiah Livers 23 3-11 2-8 0-0 1 3 1 0 8 - -
Marcus Sasser 22 3-10 1-5 0-0 1 3 0 1 7 - -
Killian Hayes 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 3 0 - -
Alec Burks 13 2-8 0-5 4-4 0 1 0 0 8 - -
James Wiseman 9 3-4 0-0 2-4 4 0 0 0 8 - -
Stanley Umude 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter