Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.2% | 71.8% | +5.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +12 (132-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 24 | 7-17 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 22 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham * | 24 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins * | 20 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 17 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 26 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 22 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 16 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 15 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 34 | 17-29 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 39 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 32 | 8-14 | 4-9 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 31 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson * | 28 | 7-10 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday * | 27 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 24 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 21 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 18 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Braxton Key | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Collin Gillespie | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jay Huff | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter