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2023-11-27

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 34.4% 65.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 23.1% 76.9% - ✓
Margin 13.3% 86.7% +10.3 ✓ (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 37.0% 63.0% - ✓
Efficiency 22.4% 77.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 23.5% 76.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 23.5% 76.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 27.4% 72.6% - ✓

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +3 (105-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 37 7-17 0-4 4-6 8 6 1 1 18 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 34 8-9 0-0 2-2 13 2 2 0 18 - -
OG Anunoby * 34 4-12 2-5 1-3 7 1 0 1 11 - -
Scottie Barnes * 33 5-14 1-4 4-5 8 3 1 1 15 - -
Dennis Schroder * 29 5-11 2-5 3-3 2 4 2 0 15 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 25 5-13 1-7 2-2 1 0 1 0 13 - -
Malachi Flynn 16 1-6 1-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 - -
Precious Achiuwa 12 1-4 1-2 1-4 2 1 1 0 4 - -
Chris Boucher 10 1-2 0-0 3-4 4 0 1 0 5 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Garland * 41 10-16 3-6 1-1 2 8 0 0 24 - -
Evan Mobley * 38 5-14 0-1 2-2 14 1 0 2 12 - -
Max Strus * 37 8-16 4-9 0-0 11 5 0 1 20 - -
Donovan Mitchell * 33 4-17 0-5 2-3 5 4 1 0 10 - -
Jarrett Allen * 26 9-10 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 2 18 - -
Georges Niang 23 3-9 2-5 0-0 6 3 1 0 8 - -
Caris LeVert 21 3-10 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 7 - -
Isaac Okoro 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Tristan Thompson 7 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 0 4 - -

* = starter