Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.1% | 44.9% | -1.1 | ✓ (20.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -22 (97-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 34 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Anthony Edwards * | 33 | 8-14 | 1-4 | 7-7 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 32 | 6-11 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 25 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gobert * | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 22 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid | 21 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Shake Milton | 18 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. | 17 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Josh Minott | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 2 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Leonard Miller | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 36 | 4-14 | 2-6 | 8-10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 18 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane * | 34 | 5-16 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 30 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama * | 26 | 6-15 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jacob Gilyard * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| David Roddy | 27 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Derrick Rose | 19 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Ziaire Williams | 18 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Nowell | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Vince Williams Jr. | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Shaquille Harrison | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kenneth Lofton Jr. | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter