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2023-11-26

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 22.7% 77.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 22.1% 77.9% - โœ“
Margin 11.2% 88.8% +11.4 โœ“ (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 33.9% 66.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 8.6% 91.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 12.4% 87.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 12.3% 87.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 18.7% 81.3% - โœ“

Actual: Boston Celtics +10 (113-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Andre Hunter * 39 7-14 5-11 5-5 4 2 1 1 24 - -
Trae Young * 37 12-27 6-16 3-6 5 7 0 0 33 - -
Dejounte Murray * 34 2-13 0-6 2-2 4 3 0 0 6 - -
Saddiq Bey * 28 3-7 1-5 0-0 8 1 0 0 7 - -
Clint Capela * 20 1-5 0-0 2-6 8 1 1 2 4 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 31 8-12 7-10 0-0 7 0 1 0 23 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 27 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 1 4 - -
AJ Griffin 12 0-5 0-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 - -
Wesley Matthews 7 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 38 11-25 5-13 7-10 9 4 2 0 34 - -
Derrick White * 37 5-13 0-6 5-5 4 11 3 0 15 - -
Jaylen Brown * 36 9-19 2-7 1-2 7 3 1 0 21 - -
Al Horford * 32 3-8 0-5 0-0 15 3 1 2 6 - -
Dalano Banton * 18 3-5 0-1 2-2 5 1 0 0 8 - -
Sam Hauser 31 4-9 4-9 0-0 4 2 0 0 12 - -
Payton Pritchard 19 2-6 2-6 0-0 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Neemias Queta 15 3-8 0-0 1-1 10 0 1 0 7 - -
Luke Kornet 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 4 - -

* = starter