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2023-11-26

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 24.2% 75.8% -
Bradley-Terry 32.8% 67.2% -
Margin 27.5% 72.5% +5.3 (13.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.9% 53.1% -
Efficiency 46.6% 53.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.6% 50.4% -
Log Adjusted 49.6% 50.4% -
Points Off/Def 45.2% 54.8% -

Actual: LA Clippers +19 (107-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luka Doncic * 38 12-27 1-8 5-5 3 4 2 2 30 - -
Grant Williams * 34 2-3 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 5 - -
Kyrie Irving * 32 11-22 3-7 1-1 6 3 1 0 26 - -
Richaun Holmes * 21 0-4 0-0 0-2 5 1 0 2 0 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 19 1-5 1-3 1-2 1 1 1 1 4 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. 29 5-14 2-9 0-0 3 0 0 0 12 - -
Dante Exum 17 1-4 0-1 0-0 8 2 1 0 2 - -
Dwight Powell 14 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 3 0 0 2 - -
Josh Green 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Seth Curry 8 1-5 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Jaden Hardy 7 1-3 0-1 2-2 4 1 0 0 4 - -
Olivier-Maxence Prosper 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paul George * 36 9-19 2-5 5-5 9 4 0 0 25 - -
Terance Mann * 31 7-14 0-4 3-4 3 1 0 1 17 - -
Kawhi Leonard * 29 2-12 0-5 4-4 6 3 0 2 8 - -
James Harden * 28 2-8 2-6 2-2 4 7 1 2 8 - -
Ivica Zubac * 23 5-8 0-0 1-5 14 1 0 0 11 - -
Russell Westbrook 25 6-9 0-1 2-3 8 7 0 0 14 - -
Norman Powell 24 4-4 3-3 4-4 3 1 0 0 15 - -
Daniel Theis 16 2-6 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 1 5 - -
P.J. Tucker 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Amir Coffey 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Kobe Brown 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Moussa Diabate 4 0-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 1 - -
Bones Hyland 3 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter