Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Brooklyn Nets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 70.1% | 29.9% | -4.7 | ✗ (19.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Brooklyn Nets +15 (112-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Richardson * | 36 | 4-11 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. * | 31 | 8-15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 29 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith * | 15 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - | |
| Thomas Bryant * | 13 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 30 | 9-18 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 14 | - | |
| Jamal Cain | 29 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - | |
| Cole Swider | 20 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - | |
| Kevin Love | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 16 | - | |
| Nikola Jovic | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - |
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 36 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 20 | - | |
| Cameron Johnson * | 35 | 8-13 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 23 | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 34 | 7-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - | |
| Mikal Bridges * | 32 | 8-19 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 17 | - | |
| Nic Claxton * | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 17 | - | |
| Royce O'Neale | 28 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 13 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - | |
| Trendon Watford | 12 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - | |
| Day'Ron Sharpe | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - | |
| Armoni Brooks | 4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Dariq Whitehead | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | |
| Noah Clowney | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter