Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.8% | 60.2% | +2.3 | ✗ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -3 (101-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 38 | 10-26 | 3-12 | 7-8 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 34 | 11-22 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams * | 32 | 2-9 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 18 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 29 | 2-10 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 21 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Dante Exum | 9 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 7 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taurean Prince * | 36 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| LeBron James * | 36 | 9-19 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Anthony Davis * | 36 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 24 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Max Christie * | 23 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Austin Reaves | 31 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Rui Hachimura | 25 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter