Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.4% | 40.6% | -2.1 | ✗ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +8 (123-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 27 | 6-15 | 1-8 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 25 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 24 | 8-17 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Brandin Podziemski | 23 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dario Saric | 22 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody | 22 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 20 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Gui Santos | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 34 | 7-14 | 3-4 | 15-15 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 32 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 33 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 31 | 5-15 | 2-3 | 13-14 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 28 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 17 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 27 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little | 26 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jordan Goodwin | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter