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2023-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 47.5% 52.5% -
Bradley-Terry 60.2% 39.8% -
Margin 64.2% 35.8% -3.2 (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 45.2% 54.8% -
Efficiency 41.0% 59.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.8% 57.2% -
Log Adjusted 42.8% 57.2% -
Points Off/Def 40.0% 60.0% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +5 (117-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Harrison Barnes * 40 6-13 4-9 6-6 3 0 0 0 22 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 38 9-17 2-7 6-7 2 5 1 0 26 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 35 8-11 0-0 7-10 9 6 0 1 23 - -
Kevin Huerter * 26 2-10 2-7 2-2 7 2 0 0 8 - -
Chris Duarte * 19 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 6 - -
Trey Lyles 27 4-8 3-7 1-1 8 0 0 0 12 - -
Malik Monk 25 2-8 1-6 5-5 4 5 2 0 10 - -
Sasha Vezenkov 10 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Davion Mitchell 9 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 2 0 0 2 - -
JaVale McGee 4 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Kessler Edwards 0 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Herbert Jones * 39 1-6 0-4 5-6 5 3 3 1 7 - -
Zion Williamson * 34 10-16 0-0 5-7 5 6 0 0 25 - -
Brandon Ingram * 29 9-18 1-4 4-4 4 3 1 0 23 - -
Dyson Daniels * 28 2-9 0-5 4-4 7 0 1 0 8 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 27 6-9 0-0 3-4 11 2 0 0 15 - -
Jordan Hawkins 20 3-9 2-8 5-5 2 3 0 0 13 - -
Naji Marshall 20 4-5 2-2 2-3 6 4 1 1 12 - -
Jose Alvarado 18 4-9 2-6 0-4 1 2 3 0 10 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 12 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 0 4 - -
Cody Zeller 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter