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2023-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 18.2% 81.8% -
Bradley-Terry 26.1% 73.9% -
Margin 14.4% 85.6% +9.8 (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 39.5% 60.5% -
Efficiency 18.0% 82.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.6% 78.4% -
Log Adjusted 21.6% 78.4% -
Points Off/Def 26.2% 73.8% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +3 (119-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 37 11-24 3-10 2-2 5 5 2 0 27 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 36 7-20 0-3 7-10 13 5 2 0 21 - -
Brook Lopez * 33 12-18 2-5 2-3 7 1 1 1 28 - -
Khris Middleton * 28 4-14 2-5 2-2 5 7 1 0 12 - -
Malik Beasley * 22 2-3 2-3 0-0 3 3 2 0 6 - -
MarJon Beauchamp 21 2-5 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 5 - -
Pat Connaughton 20 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 3 - -
Bobby Portis 20 2-6 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 4 - -
Cameron Payne 10 1-5 1-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 3 - -
Andre Jackson Jr. 7 3-4 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 7 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 36 7-17 2-9 7-9 11 4 0 1 23 - -
Derrick White * 35 5-9 3-6 0-0 4 5 1 1 13 - -
Jaylen Brown * 35 10-16 3-5 3-3 2 8 1 0 26 - -
Jrue Holiday * 34 1-8 1-5 2-2 8 1 1 1 5 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 26 9-15 2-7 1-2 6 1 0 0 21 - -
Al Horford 30 4-7 2-3 1-1 8 6 0 1 11 - -
Payton Pritchard 21 4-7 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 10 - -
Sam Hauser 19 4-5 2-3 0-0 2 1 0 1 10 - -

* = starter