Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.0% | 43.0% | -1.5 | ✗ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +5 (124-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gordon * | 36 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 36 | 12-18 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 13 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 30 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 34 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson * | 33 | 5-15 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 30 | 9-16 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 21 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 16 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 8 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 34 | 8-14 | 4-5 | 3-5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 23 | - | - | |
| Franz Wagner * | 31 | 11-18 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 27 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze * | 31 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jalen Suggs * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Anthony Black * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Cole Anthony | 28 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris | 23 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Joe Ingles | 16 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 15 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Isaac | 14 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - |
* = starter