Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.1% | 49.9% | -0.0 | ✗ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +5 (121-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet * | 41 | 3-13 | 1-8 | 3-3 | 5 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 36 | 13-23 | 2-3 | 2-5 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 27 | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 32 | 7-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 19 | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 30 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 23 | 6-15 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 6 | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 28 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 20 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - | |
| Jeff Green | 14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - | |
| Reggie Bullock Jr. | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | |
| Jock Landale | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Paul * | 34 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 28 | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 34 | 8-14 | 5-9 | 11-12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 24 | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 31 | 7-16 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 10 | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 30 | 3-10 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - | |
| Dario Saric | 26 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - | |
| Moses Moody | 21 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 18 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - | |
| Brandin Podziemski | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter