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2023-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 47.5% 52.5% -
Bradley-Terry 60.2% 39.8% -
Margin 64.2% 35.8% -3.2 (39.2 off)
Pythagorean 45.2% 54.8% -
Efficiency 41.0% 59.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.8% 57.2% -
Log Adjusted 42.8% 57.2% -
Points Off/Def 40.0% 60.0% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +36 (129-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 30 4-8 0-0 2-3 10 8 0 0 10 20 -
Harrison Barnes * 29 4-9 3-6 5-6 4 0 1 0 16 12 -
De'Aaron Fox * 28 5-18 2-12 2-4 2 0 1 0 14 -1 -
Kevin Huerter * 22 4-10 2-8 0-0 0 3 0 0 10 3 -
Keegan Murray * 16 1-4 1-2 2-2 3 0 1 1 5 6 -
Malik Monk 24 3-11 2-6 0-0 0 5 0 0 8 2 -
Davion Mitchell 19 0-2 0-2 2-2 0 8 0 0 2 8 -
Kessler Edwards 15 1-4 1-4 0-0 4 0 0 1 3 4 -
Colby Jones 13 4-8 0-2 0-1 1 0 1 0 8 2 -
JaVale McGee 12 4-6 0-0 2-4 7 1 0 2 10 14 -
Jalen Slawson 12 2-3 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 1 4 7 -
Chris Duarte 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -
Filip Petrusev 6 1-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zion Williamson * 29 12-16 0-0 2-2 3 5 3 1 26 22 -
Herbert Jones * 27 7-9 1-2 3-4 7 4 1 2 18 23 -
Brandon Ingram * 25 11-18 5-5 4-4 4 3 0 0 31 20 -
Dyson Daniels * 24 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 5 1 0 3 7 -
Jonas Valanciunas * 21 3-4 0-0 4-4 13 7 1 3 10 30 -
Jordan Hawkins 29 3-11 2-5 1-1 5 2 0 0 9 5 -
Naji Marshall 26 5-11 1-5 0-0 7 4 1 0 11 12 -
Cody Zeller 23 4-7 0-1 1-4 9 2 0 0 9 13 -
Jose Alvarado 15 2-5 1-3 0-0 0 3 0 0 5 3 -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl 11 1-4 0-1 2-2 5 1 0 0 4 6 -
Kira Lewis Jr. 6 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 3 3 -

* = starter