Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.4% | 15.6% | -9.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -13 (129-142). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 33 | 20-23 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 42 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley * | 33 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 32 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | - | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 32 | 5-14 | 3-6 | 9-11 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 23 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 26 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 23 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 16 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| AJ Green | 14 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Robin Lopez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Poole * | 32 | 11-26 | 3-9 | 5-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Deni Avdija * | 31 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 30 | 10-15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 28 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones * | 26 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Bilal Coulibaly | 25 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Corey Kispert | 21 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari | 18 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Landry Shamet | 14 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Johnny Davis | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jared Butler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ryan Rollins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Anthony Gill | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Eugene Omoruyi | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter