Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.0% | 57.0% | +1.6 | ✗ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -4 (103-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 38 | 5-15 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 36 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 35 | 8-17 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson * | 32 | 9-15 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 15 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 32 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 15 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 38 | 7-17 | 2-4 | 11-11 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart * | 35 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jaden Ivey * | 29 | 7-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III * | 25 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Ausar Thompson * | 23 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Livers | 22 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Stanley Umude | 18 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks | 17 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| James Wiseman | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Marcus Sasser | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter