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2023-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 77.0% 23.0% -
Bradley-Terry 81.8% 18.2% -
Margin 89.0% 11.0% -11.5 (14.5 off)
Pythagorean 71.7% 28.3% -
Efficiency 93.3% 6.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 91.1% 8.9% -
Log Adjusted 91.1% 8.9% -
Points Off/Def 83.3% 16.7% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +3 (121-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 43 15-28 7-15 8-10 13 6 0 2 45 - -
Sam Hauser * 37 1-9 1-9 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Jrue Holiday * 37 5-11 1-3 0-2 6 5 1 2 11 - -
Jaylen Brown * 34 5-17 0-5 3-4 4 3 0 0 13 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 34 5-14 1-8 6-10 8 0 2 3 17 - -
Payton Pritchard 33 8-14 5-8 0-0 6 3 2 0 21 - -
Luke Kornet 18 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 4 - -
Oshae Brissett 17 0-0 0-0 1-2 7 1 0 0 1 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miles Bridges * 44 3-13 2-7 6-6 15 5 1 0 14 - -
LaMelo Ball * 41 15-27 5-11 1-1 9 8 2 1 36 - -
Gordon Hayward * 39 6-15 1-2 7-8 5 4 1 1 20 - -
Brandon Miller * 39 4-12 1-4 0-0 7 4 2 1 9 - -
Mark Williams * 32 8-14 0-0 2-2 16 2 1 3 18 - -
P.J. Washington 28 6-13 3-9 0-0 1 1 2 1 15 - -
Ish Smith 20 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 6 - -
Bryce McGowens 13 1-6 1-6 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 - -
JT Thor 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter