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2023-11-20

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 53.5% 46.5% -
Bradley-Terry 50.7% 49.3% -
Margin 67.0% 33.0% -3.9 (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% -
Efficiency 49.3% 50.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.1% 52.9% -
Log Adjusted 47.1% 52.9% -
Points Off/Def 43.2% 56.8% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +1 (105-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dillon Brooks * 40 9-21 6-11 0-0 1 2 4 0 24 - -
Fred VanVleet * 39 5-14 3-10 2-2 1 16 1 0 15 - -
Jalen Green * 31 3-10 2-5 1-3 6 3 0 1 9 - -
Jabari Smith Jr. * 31 5-10 2-6 2-2 5 1 1 0 14 - -
Alperen Sengun * 30 11-16 1-2 0-0 10 5 0 1 23 - -
Tari Eason 17 1-2 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 1 2 - -
Jae'Sean Tate 16 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 4 - -
Aaron Holiday 15 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 5 0 0 0 - -
Jeff Green 13 5-5 0-0 3-3 2 0 0 0 13 - -
Jock Landale 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cam Reddish * 39 3-9 1-5 0-0 3 3 3 0 7 - -
LeBron James * 39 14-19 2-5 7-9 6 8 3 0 37 - -
Anthony Davis * 32 11-15 0-0 5-7 10 3 2 1 27 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 24 1-8 1-5 1-2 5 2 3 0 4 - -
Taurean Prince * 23 1-11 0-4 0-1 4 2 0 0 2 - -
Rui Hachimura 32 4-10 0-4 3-4 4 2 2 0 11 - -
Austin Reaves 25 5-7 2-3 5-6 6 6 0 0 17 - -
Christian Wood 17 0-4 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Jaxson Hayes 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter