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2023-11-20

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 78.3% 21.7% -
Bradley-Terry 61.6% 38.4% -
Margin 67.6% 32.4% -4.1 (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 66.9% 33.1% -
Efficiency 90.8% 9.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 87.7% 12.3% -
Log Adjusted 87.7% 12.3% -
Points Off/Def 78.2% 21.8% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -2 (100-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 36 2-7 1-3 2-2 6 4 0 0 7 - -
Jayson Tatum * 35 7-13 1-1 5-6 9 5 1 1 20 - -
Derrick White * 34 3-9 2-5 2-2 3 4 0 1 10 - -
Jaylen Brown * 33 5-16 1-7 1-2 6 3 2 2 12 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 33 9-13 0-3 8-9 8 1 1 6 26 - -
Sam Hauser 21 5-8 5-7 0-0 4 0 2 0 15 - -
Al Horford 21 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 5 - -
Payton Pritchard 15 2-5 1-2 2-4 3 1 0 0 7 - -
Neemias Queta 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Lamar Stevens 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Santi Aldama * 39 11-27 6-15 0-0 12 6 2 0 28 - -
Desmond Bane * 36 11-27 7-14 1-1 2 8 1 0 30 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 34 5-12 1-3 6-7 8 1 1 1 17 - -
John Konchar * 26 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 1 2 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 - -
Ziaire Williams 24 3-11 0-4 0-0 7 4 0 0 6 - -
David Roddy 20 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Vince Williams Jr. 16 2-4 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 2 6 - -
Jacob Gilyard 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 5 2 0 3 - -
Kenneth Lofton Jr. 13 2-5 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 6 - -

* = starter