Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.3% | 66.7% | +3.8 | ✗ (19.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -16 (113-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 34 | 13-15 | 0-2 | 6-10 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 33 | 4-11 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 32 | 7-13 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Chris Duarte * | 32 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 31 | 10-20 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 18 | 4-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Sasha Vezenkov | 13 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Keon Ellis | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Slawson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Colby Jones | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 33 | 8-17 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 31 | 7-19 | 3-7 | 8-10 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams * | 20 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 27 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 25 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Dante Exum | 14 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes | 5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 5 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter