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2023-11-19

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 60.9% 39.1% -
Bradley-Terry 58.2% 41.8% -
Margin 67.5% 32.5% -4.0 (33.0 off)
Pythagorean 41.7% 58.3% -
Efficiency 35.8% 64.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.6% 61.4% -
Log Adjusted 38.7% 61.3% -
Points Off/Def 37.6% 62.4% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +29 (142-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ausar Thompson * 30 3-5 0-1 3-4 10 2 1 1 9 - -
Jaden Ivey * 28 3-10 0-5 3-4 3 4 0 0 9 - -
Kevin Knox II * 26 2-11 1-5 1-2 4 0 1 0 6 - -
Cade Cunningham * 26 7-17 3-5 1-3 5 4 0 0 18 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 20 3-7 1-2 1-1 5 1 0 0 8 - -
Stanley Umude 25 5-6 2-3 7-8 4 3 0 1 19 - -
James Wiseman 24 6-8 0-0 3-5 3 1 0 1 15 - -
Alec Burks 22 3-9 1-3 7-8 4 1 0 0 14 - -
Marcus Sasser 21 4-6 1-2 0-0 1 6 1 0 9 - -
Marvin Bagley III 14 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 6 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 28 10-18 1-2 2-3 7 6 1 0 23 - -
OG Anunoby * 26 2-11 1-6 4-6 5 3 2 0 9 - -
Dennis Schroder * 26 8-15 0-4 1-2 2 7 1 0 17 - -
Scottie Barnes * 25 7-11 3-4 0-0 7 9 0 0 17 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 24 6-6 0-0 4-5 10 4 1 3 16 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 26 6-12 2-7 4-4 1 3 1 1 18 - -
Malachi Flynn 21 3-5 1-2 0-2 2 4 2 0 7 - -
Precious Achiuwa 18 5-10 2-4 0-2 6 5 0 0 12 - -
Chris Boucher 17 5-7 3-4 1-3 6 1 1 1 14 - -
Gradey Dick 12 1-3 1-2 2-2 0 0 1 0 5 - -
Jalen McDaniels 8 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 - -
Ron Harper Jr. 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter