Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.7% | 68.3% | +4.2 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +12 (121-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gordon * | 31 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 30 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 27 | 7-15 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 27 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson * | 21 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 25 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 19 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 19 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 17 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 14 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Collin Gillespie | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Garland * | 32 | 10-16 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Evan Mobley * | 31 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Max Strus * | 31 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 29 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Dean Wade * | 24 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Craig Porter | 24 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 23 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Sam Merrill | 23 | 3-10 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tristan Thompson | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Emoni Bates | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Damian Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter