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2023-11-19

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 65.6% 34.4% -
Bradley-Terry 42.7% 57.3% -
Margin 44.9% 55.1% +1.1 (13.1 off)
Pythagorean 47.3% 52.7% -
Efficiency 47.4% 52.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.8% 55.2% -
Log Adjusted 44.8% 55.2% -
Points Off/Def 40.7% 59.3% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers -12 (116-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 26 9-14 0-0 6-7 3 0 1 2 24 - -
Anthony Black * 24 1-5 0-2 5-6 5 1 0 2 7 - -
Franz Wagner * 22 6-14 0-2 7-7 7 1 2 0 19 - -
Goga Bitadze * 22 3-5 0-0 2-2 8 2 0 4 8 - -
Jalen Suggs * 17 6-8 1-2 5-6 3 1 1 0 18 - -
Cole Anthony 24 5-12 1-3 4-4 5 3 0 1 15 - -
Gary Harris 21 4-6 3-3 2-2 0 2 2 0 13 - -
Moritz Wagner 20 6-10 1-1 3-4 3 2 0 0 16 - -
Joe Ingles 17 0-2 0-2 0-0 4 6 3 0 0 - -
Jonathan Isaac 13 2-5 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 1 5 - -
Caleb Houstan 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -
Chuma Okeke 7 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Jett Howard 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Admiral Schofield 5 0-1 0-1 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Haliburton * 25 4-14 1-3 3-3 2 3 0 1 12 - -
Bennedict Mathurin * 24 4-12 1-3 5-5 6 3 1 0 14 - -
Myles Turner * 22 3-10 0-3 4-6 4 3 1 3 10 - -
Bruce Brown * 21 4-7 1-2 2-2 5 1 0 1 11 - -
Obi Toppin * 16 3-8 0-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 6 - -
Jordan Nwora 23 8-11 2-5 1-1 5 1 3 0 19 - -
T.J. McConnell 20 5-9 0-1 1-3 4 5 0 0 11 - -
Ben Sheppard 16 2-5 1-3 2-2 0 2 1 0 7 - -
Aaron Nesmith 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jarace Walker 14 3-6 0-3 1-1 1 1 1 1 7 - -
Buddy Hield 14 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 - -
Jalen Smith 13 4-5 1-1 1-2 4 0 0 0 10 - -
Isaiah Jackson 12 1-2 0-0 4-6 3 1 3 1 6 - -

* = starter