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2023-11-19

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 52.0% 48.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 67.6% 32.4% - โœ“
Margin 76.3% 23.7% -6.4 โœ“ (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 51.8% 48.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 64.9% 35.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 63.2% 36.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 63.3% 36.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 54.7% 45.3% - โœ“

Actual: Golden State Warriors -7 (123-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Williams * 41 8-16 0-2 6-6 6 3 1 0 22 - -
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 40 18-29 2-3 2-2 7 6 2 2 40 - -
Chet Holmgren * 36 14-22 2-5 6-7 10 5 2 2 36 - -
Luguentz Dort * 26 1-6 1-4 0-0 6 2 0 0 3 - -
Josh Giddey * 22 4-10 1-2 2-2 5 2 1 2 11 - -
Cason Wallace 28 1-3 0-2 1-1 1 2 0 0 3 - -
Isaiah Joe 26 4-9 2-4 0-0 4 3 1 1 10 - -
Kenrich Williams 22 0-3 0-1 1-2 4 1 1 0 1 - -
Vasilije Micic 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Aaron Wiggins 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Jaylin Williams 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 40 8-21 5-11 4-4 7 3 0 0 25 - -
Chris Paul * 37 4-9 4-7 0-0 4 11 3 0 12 - -
Klay Thompson * 36 5-13 3-9 3-3 2 4 0 1 16 - -
Kevon Looney * 34 3-6 0-0 0-0 16 5 0 1 6 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 34 12-19 5-8 2-4 0 3 1 1 31 - -
Brandin Podziemski 25 2-6 1-4 3-4 3 3 0 0 8 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 20 6-10 0-2 1-2 5 2 1 1 13 - -
Dario Saric 18 3-9 0-2 0-0 8 1 0 0 6 - -
Moses Moody 17 1-4 0-3 4-4 4 1 1 0 6 - -

* = starter