Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.3% | 23.7% | -6.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -7 (123-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Williams * | 41 | 8-16 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 16 | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 40 | 18-29 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 28 | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 36 | 14-22 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 36 | 33 | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 26 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 22 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 28 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 26 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 22 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | |
| Vasilije Micic | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 40 | 8-21 | 5-11 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 14 | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 37 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 21 | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 36 | 5-13 | 3-9 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 34 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 34 | 12-19 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 17 | - | |
| Brandin Podziemski | 25 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 20 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - | |
| Dario Saric | 18 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - | |
| Moses Moody | 17 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
* = starter