Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.3% | 61.7% | +2.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +7 (132-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Williams * | 37 | 5-11 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 35 | 15-26 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 33 | 16-29 | 3-10 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 39 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 19 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 26 | 6-14 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dante Exum | 11 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 37 | 7-18 | 4-11 | 9-10 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 37 | 18-26 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 40 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 33 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley * | 33 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Andre Jackson Jr. * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 34 | 6-12 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 21 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 17 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| AJ Green | 11 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
* = starter