Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.2% | 48.8% | -0.3 | ✗ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls +5 (102-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 35 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 27 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 34 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 18 | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 33 | 8-16 | 2-6 | 7-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 15 | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 31 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith * | 24 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 27 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 25 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 15 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - | |
| Kevin Love | 12 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 39 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 9-13 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 20 | - | |
| Zach LaVine * | 35 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 21 | - | |
| Nikola Vucevic * | 32 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - | |
| Coby White * | 29 | 5-13 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - | |
| Alex Caruso * | 28 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 16 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - | |
| Andre Drummond | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - | |
| Patrick Williams | 15 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 14 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - | |
| Ayo Dosunmu | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter