Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.3% | 23.7% | -6.4 | ✓ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -19 (109-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Williams * | 29 | 6-13 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 29 | 6-21 | 3-7 | 9-9 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 16 | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 20 | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 26 | 8-14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 14 | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 23 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 25 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 25 | 7-7 | 7-7 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 22 | - | |
| Vasilije Micic | 21 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klay Thompson * | 27 | 1-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 27 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 19 | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 26 | 6-13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga * | 26 | 8-13 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 17 | - | |
| Dario Saric * | 24 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - | |
| Brandin Podziemski | 25 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - | |
| Moses Moody | 22 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 20 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - | |
| Kevon Looney | 19 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 7 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Lester Quinones | 4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - | |
| Gui Santos | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter