Model Predictions
| Model | Brooklyn Nets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.1% | 81.9% | +8.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +7 (122-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikal Bridges * | 35 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 9-10 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 32 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 4-6 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 31 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Cameron Johnson * | 27 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Nic Claxton * | 25 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 26 | 9-18 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale | 20 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dennis Smith Jr. | 16 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Day'Ron Sharpe | 14 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Trendon Watford | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Robinson * | 37 | 8-14 | 6-10 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 34 | 12-19 | 2-5 | 10-11 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 36 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 33 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 24 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 33 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 25 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love | 15 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 12 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter