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2023-11-16

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 38.7% 61.3% -
Bradley-Terry 53.3% 46.7% -
Margin 65.9% 34.1% -3.6 (21.6 off)
Pythagorean 50.9% 49.1% -
Efficiency 60.9% 39.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.0% 39.0% -
Log Adjusted 61.1% 38.9% -
Points Off/Def 51.9% 48.1% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +18 (133-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Karl-Anthony Towns * 31 10-17 0-4 5-5 7 2 0 0 25 - -
Anthony Edwards * 30 4-16 1-3 4-4 4 4 1 1 13 - -
Rudy Gobert * 24 2-5 0-0 0-0 8 2 1 2 4 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 22 6-10 0-3 1-1 2 3 2 0 13 - -
Mike Conley * 22 5-8 1-3 3-3 2 3 0 0 14 - -
Shake Milton 22 4-8 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 8 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 22 3-6 2-5 0-0 0 0 0 1 8 - -
Kyle Anderson 21 2-5 0-0 2-2 2 3 2 1 6 - -
Naz Reid 18 4-7 1-2 4-4 4 0 1 0 13 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 13 0-3 0-2 4-4 4 1 1 0 4 - -
Josh Minott 4 1-3 0-2 0-1 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Luka Garza 4 1-4 0-1 3-4 2 0 0 0 5 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 35 11-15 2-2 7-7 6 6 0 1 31 - -
Eric Gordon * 29 6-9 3-6 0-0 1 3 0 0 15 - -
Grayson Allen * 27 5-9 3-5 1-1 3 2 0 1 14 - -
Devin Booker * 25 12-22 2-7 5-5 4 5 0 0 31 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 24 1-3 1-1 0-0 5 4 0 0 3 - -
Yuta Watanabe 22 1-6 1-4 0-0 2 3 0 1 3 - -
Drew Eubanks 20 6-9 1-1 0-0 4 3 0 0 13 - -
Josh Okogie 18 4-5 3-3 1-2 0 1 0 0 12 - -
Jordan Goodwin 16 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 3 1 1 3 - -
Keita Bates-Diop 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Chimezie Metu 3 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Nassir Little 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter