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2023-11-16

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 31.7% 68.3% -
Bradley-Terry 50.0% 50.0% -
Margin 51.9% 48.1% -0.4 (15.6 off)
Pythagorean 57.9% 42.1% -
Efficiency 74.2% 25.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.5% 28.5% -
Log Adjusted 71.5% 28.5% -
Points Off/Def 61.6% 38.4% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors -16 (112-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brook Lopez * 33 4-10 1-3 1-1 8 4 1 7 10 - -
Malik Beasley * 31 11-14 8-11 0-0 4 0 1 0 30 - -
Damian Lillard * 30 9-18 4-10 15-16 4 13 2 0 37 - -
Khris Middleton * 20 5-9 1-2 0-0 5 4 2 0 11 - -
Andre Jackson Jr. * 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Bobby Portis 30 7-11 2-3 2-2 7 0 0 2 18 - -
Pat Connaughton 22 1-3 1-3 0-0 7 0 0 0 3 - -
Cameron Payne 16 4-8 3-4 2-2 1 2 0 0 13 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 15 1-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
MarJon Beauchamp 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 4 - -
AJ Green 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
TyTy Washington Jr. 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Lindell Wigginton 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Robin Lopez 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 31 11-19 3-3 4-5 9 7 1 0 29 - -
Pascal Siakam * 28 4-9 0-2 3-5 7 5 0 1 11 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 27 6-10 0-0 1-2 11 1 4 2 13 - -
Gradey Dick * 26 2-10 1-6 6-6 0 2 1 0 11 - -
Dennis Schroder * 22 2-9 1-4 4-4 3 5 2 0 9 - -
Malachi Flynn 26 3-11 0-8 1-1 3 5 0 1 7 - -
Chris Boucher 20 2-8 1-3 4-4 9 0 0 1 9 - -
Jalen McDaniels 18 3-10 1-4 0-0 4 1 1 1 7 - -
Precious Achiuwa 17 4-7 1-2 2-2 4 0 0 2 11 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Garrett Temple 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Thaddeus Young 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Markquis Nowell 3 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 2 1 0 2 - -

* = starter