Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.3% | 17.7% | -8.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -13 (117-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Green * | 36 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams * | 35 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 32 | 7-18 | 4-11 | 8-12 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 26 | 8-11 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 23 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 26 | 11-20 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 19 | 6-6 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Dante Exum | 18 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Poole * | 32 | 6-17 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 29 | 6-18 | 2-6 | 8-10 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Deni Avdija * | 23 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 23 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones * | 22 | 6-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bilal Coulibaly | 27 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Corey Kispert | 25 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Landry Shamet | 20 | 2-12 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari | 18 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Johnny Davis | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Anthony Gill | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Patrick Baldwin Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ryan Rollins | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter