Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 79.0% | 21.0% | -7.3 | ✗ (19.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +12 (132-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 38 | 7-21 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Max Strus * | 34 | 7-12 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 33 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Evan Mobley * | 30 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 22 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert | 28 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 21 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dean Wade | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tristan Thompson | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Sam Merrill | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Craig Porter | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keegan Murray * | 37 | 9-13 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 35 | 11-20 | 2-6 | 4-7 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 35 | 8-10 | 1-2 | 6-11 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 23 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 28 | 7-11 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 25 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Sasha Vezenkov | 17 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Keon Ellis | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Chris Duarte | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Colby Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jordan Ford | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter