Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.6% | 87.4% | +10.7 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +4 (111-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Kuzma * | 37 | 14-25 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 15 | - | |
| Jordan Poole * | 35 | 6-16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - | |
| Tyus Jones * | 30 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - | |
| Deni Avdija * | 29 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 16 | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 25 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 23 | - | |
| Bilal Coulibaly | 33 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - | |
| Corey Kispert | 24 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - | |
| Landry Shamet | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 38 | 8-17 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 19 | 20 | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 37 | 15-24 | 0-4 | 9-14 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 39 | 36 | - | |
| Dennis Schroder * | 34 | 1-12 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 24 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - | |
| Otto Porter Jr. * | 14 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - | |
| Gradey Dick | 24 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 22 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 20 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 13 | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 19 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter