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2023-11-13

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 45.7% 54.3% -
Bradley-Terry 45.6% 54.4% -
Margin 48.7% 51.3% +0.3 (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 51.2% 48.8% -
Efficiency 62.0% 38.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 62.1% 37.9% -
Log Adjusted 62.2% 37.8% -
Points Off/Def 53.0% 47.0% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors -6 (110-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Karl-Anthony Towns * 37 8-14 2-3 3-3 14 3 2 1 21 - -
Anthony Edwards * 37 11-27 1-9 10-10 6 7 2 0 33 - -
Rudy Gobert * 35 4-7 0-0 2-8 10 3 1 5 10 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 34 6-8 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 13 - -
Mike Conley * 30 3-7 1-5 1-1 5 9 0 0 8 - -
Naz Reid 18 3-8 2-5 2-2 6 2 0 0 10 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 17 4-6 2-3 0-0 2 1 2 0 10 - -
Kyle Anderson 17 4-4 0-0 0-2 4 1 1 0 8 - -
Shake Milton 9 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 36 11-25 5-13 11-12 5 3 1 0 38 - -
Klay Thompson * 33 5-16 3-10 3-3 5 3 1 0 16 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 25 3-7 0-2 0-2 4 2 1 0 6 - -
Draymond Green * 24 3-7 1-3 2-2 9 7 1 0 9 - -
Kevon Looney * 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 2 - -
Dario Saric 27 5-10 1-4 0-0 10 1 1 0 11 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 23 2-11 0-3 6-7 3 0 2 0 10 - -
Chris Paul 21 0-3 0-2 2-2 1 5 0 0 2 - -
Gary Payton II 13 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 4 - -
Moses Moody 13 1-6 0-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Brandin Podziemski 1 3-5 2-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 8 - -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter